General Motors is poised to announce its fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell on Tuesday. According to average estimates compiled by LSEG (formerly Refinitiv), Wall Street is anticipating the following:
- Adjusted earnings per share: $1.16
- Revenue: $38.67 billion
If these projections hold, it would signify a 10.3% decline in revenue compared to the previous year and a substantial 45.3% drop in adjusted earnings per share. GM’s fourth-quarter results for 2022 included $43.11 billion in revenue, net income attributable to stockholders of $2 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes amounting to $3.8 billion.
In addition to quarterly earnings, investors are keenly observing for any residual or unforeseen costs stemming from the company’s new labor contract, negotiated last year with the United Auto Workers union. Moreover, the focus is on GM’s 2024 guidance.
Analysts on Wall Street anticipate a “flattish” forecast from GM compared to the previous year’s earnings. The normalization of favorable vehicle pricing, which has led to record profits in recent years, is expected. Simultaneously, cost-cutting measures are projected to help offset higher labor costs resulting from the UAW deal.
In November, GM CEO Mary Barra stated that the company is finalizing a budget for 2024 to “fully offset the incremental costs of our new labor agreements.”
GM reinstated its 2023 guidance in November, encompassing net income attributable to stockholders of $9.1 billion to $9.7 billion, or EPS of $6.52 to $7.02; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion, or $7.20 to $7.70 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow of $10.5 billion to $11.5 billion.
The guidance factored in an estimated $1.1 billion EBIT-adjusted effect from approximately six weeks of U.S. labor strikes and some costs associated with an accelerated $10 billion share repurchase program announced in November.
Investors are also eager for updates on GM’s new electric vehicles and Cruise, GM’s majority-owned autonomous vehicle subsidiary currently under investigation following an October pedestrian accident in San Francisco. Cruise and GM released findings of internal investigations last week, highlighting cultural issues, regulatory challenges, and leadership shortcomings at the company but concluding that officials did not intentionally deceive regulators. Cruise remains under investigation by various entities, including the U.S. Department of Justice and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.